Assessing the risk and likelihood of future shocks.
Quake prediction is best left to the quacks, say the scientists.
Japan has been preparing for it for over 25 years.
This firm offering weekly earthquake forecasts treats its data with smoke and mirrors. The state is leaning on it--not for fraud, but for not having a license.
A moderate quake near Big Bear, California illustrates the new stress-triggering theory of earthquake occurrence.
Mainly a map of aftershock zones, this new feature from the US Geological Survey aims to raise awareness of the California earthquake hazard.
Regional earthquake forecasts have been combined into a statewide exercise; this is the second version of 2007.
About the media breakdown over Iben Browning's bogus earthquake prediction in 1990, a reprint on the Indiana University School of Journalism wonderful
ethics site.
A science fair project by Dan Ross (age 10) and Andy Michael of the U.S. Geological Survey.
An ingenious group led by the great Vladimir Keilis-Borok features predictions, mostly negative, along with their algorithms.
Keiiti Aki discussed predictions and what to do about them in
Reviews of Geophysics in 1995.
This classic 1996 article from
Science hit the seismological community like a thunderclap.
This experimental tool to quickly detect quakes and issue alerts is being tested in California.
Thomas Jordan's 1997 editorial in
Seismological Research Letters is a rallying cry for prediction research and researchers, who he says will break through to new science.
Earthquake prediction was the subject of this 1996 meeting; the resulting papers in the NAS
Proceedings are online here, a useful source of background and references from the leading workers.
Open Seismic Hazard Analysis is a project to build and share code to conduct seismic hazard analyses in a "community modeling environment."
QuakeSim is a NASA-JPL project to model southern California and its tectonic and seismic behavior. Its forecast scorecard is worth studying.
This group at Kyoto University shows what real scientists are studying these days.
A cutting-edge cooperative project of the U.S. Geological Survey and the Southern California Earthquake Center to develop forecasting models for southern California.
Seismological Research Letters published a special issue in 2007 on the "free market" group experiment called the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) project. All the articles are online here.
