Inching closer to earthquake forecasting (updated)
Tuesday April 8, 2008
Earthquake prediction has a long history of fraud, failure and hysteria. If you stop the average seismologist on the street and bring up the subject, he or she will shout "look over there!" and run the other way. (I have some background for you on why that is, plus this about real prediction science.) But the U.S. Geological Survey has scheduled a press conference on 14 April to unveil an advance in forecasting earthquakes—that's forecasting, not predicting. If you have followed the Survey's periodic assessments of quake risk for the San Francisco Bay area, this promises to be a similar exercise for all of California. I plan to be there, because while the Bay Area media are better than most at getting this science right, I'd like to bring up any things they miss. And the more Californians understand about their earthquake hazard, the more lives will be saved.
UPDATE: The press conference happened.
Comments
Hi, Andrew!
You should check the link below out:
http://earthquakepredictiontechnology.blogspot.com/
Strange, interesting, and… useless…
What if the author takes into account atmosphere physical features, such as refraction?
Earthquake prediction through sunlight under Earth rotational and seismic influence is a little strange. Demonstrating the correlation between those two phenomena are even harder!
Best Regards!
Marcelo
I found another interesting website regarding earthquake prediction that you might want to check out: www.quakefinder.com
It shows research for earthquake prediction through the monitoring of electromagnetic activity. You can look at all of the data from various stations in California, it’s very interesting.