California quakes predicted
Friday January 9, 2004
UCLA's earthquake-prediction expert, Vladimir Keilis-Borok, has come forward with a prediction of a southern California earthquake within the next nine months "in a region that includes the southeastern portion of the Mojave Desert, and an area south of it." See this press release issued Tuesday (a story in Wired today also picked up on it).
It's about a paper being submitted to Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, a flagship journal in the field. Keilis-Borok could be called the flagship scientist in this field. For more background on his group's methods, see his article (with Peter Shebalin and Ilya Zaliapin) in the 24 December 2002 PNAS.
The field of earthquake prediction is littered with frauds, mistakes and the careers of promising scientists. But this looks genuinely promising,
It's about a paper being submitted to Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, a flagship journal in the field. Keilis-Borok could be called the flagship scientist in this field. For more background on his group's methods, see his article (with Peter Shebalin and Ilya Zaliapin) in the 24 December 2002 PNAS.
The field of earthquake prediction is littered with frauds, mistakes and the careers of promising scientists. But this looks genuinely promising,
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